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August 7, 2025

Perspective on the OBBBA’s SNAP Cuts

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) will reduce federal spending for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) by $186.7 billion over the next 10 years. While these reductions are substantial, they require important context.

August 4, 2025

Where Are the Pro-Family Senators?

J.D. Vance and Mitt Romney had their differences when they served as senators together in the last Congress. But they shared a common commitment to family policies that served all families with young children — including those who relied on a family member to care for an infant or toddler at home — rather than just those…

August 1, 2025

Trump’s tariff deadline: Six experts weigh in

Trump’s trade deals have been surprising in their one-sidedness, in favor of the United States. The president’s supporters have painted this in a positive light. But it likely reflects two things. First, Trump is willing to impose more economic harm through higher tariffs on the U.S. than our trading partners are willing to impose on…

July 30, 2025

Is Marriage Back? Divorce Is Down, Family Stability Is Up

For decades, conventional wisdom has held that the trajectory of American family life is heading in one direction: towards the abolition of marriage as the stable anchor of family life and a more diverse family future. In 1994, the family psychologist John Gottman wrote there is “no denying that this is a frightening time for couples” with “more…

July 30, 2025

The Expertise Upheaval

How Generative AI’s Impact on Learning Curves Will Reshape the Workplace Generative AI (GenAI) is set to reshape the workforce, redefining career pathways and talent development. However, despite public anxieties about mass displacement, GenAI’s biggest impacts won’t be on the number of jobs so much as on the level of expertise required to do them….

July 30, 2025

It’s Not Surprising That No-Strings Attached Cash Didn’t Help Kids

A recent study put to the test an idea that has become increasingly influential over the past decade: To help kids thrive, one of the best things you can do is to give their parents cash with no strings attached. This idea was the impetus in 2021 for the one-year replacement of the existing Child Tax Credit—which…

July 29, 2025

Why Marriage Survives

“There is zero statistical advantage” to getting married if you are a man in America today, Andrew Tate argued in a viral 2022 video on “why modern men don’t want marriage.” Women, he believes, are worthless anchors—“They want you monogamous so that your testosterone level drops,” he posted on X last fall—and your marriage is likely…

July 24, 2025

Divorce In Decline: About 40% Of Today’s Marriages Will End In Divorce

We’ve all heard the mantra that half of all marriages end in divorce. This idea often gets peddled as a way of dissuading young adults from tying the knot. If you only have 50/50 odds of making it, is marriage really worth the risk? Much of this caution surrounding marriage comes from those who’ve personally…

July 23, 2025

Over 1,000 Colleges Could Lose Access to Federal Student Aid

Students are not the only ones who enjoyed a reprieve during the nearly five-year pause on federal student loan payments. Colleges also got a break from a rule that bars them from the federal student aid system if their former students’ loan default rates are too high. Now that student loan payments have resumed, however,…

July 22, 2025

How Large Would SNAP Be? Simulating the Size of SNAP Based on Changes to the Unemployment Rate

Abstract The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) is a means-tested transfer program available to all households that meet the eligibility criteria. Therefore, SNAP is also a countercyclical program, meaning that the size of the program increases during recessionary periods and decreases during expansionary periods. A large literature quantifies the magnitude of the relationship between the…