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Working Paper

The Value of Reliable Statistics

AbstractOn August 1, 2025, President Trump fired the head of the U.S. Bureau of Labor…

Op-Ed

How Much AI-Driven Productivity Growth Do We Want?

As AI advances, societies must consider how to strike a balance between the disruption caused…

Book Chapter

Fighting in-work poverty: the minimum wage versus in-work benefits

Abstract We review evidence on the effectiveness of the minimum wage versus in-work benefit policies…

Book

Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work

Summary Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) promise to improve productivity significantly, but there are many…

Book Chapter

Protectionism is Failing and Wrongheaded: An Evaluation of the Post-2017 Shift toward Trade Wars and Industrial Policy

Abstract The Trump–Pence and Biden–Harris administrations enthusiastically embraced protectionism. Each administration explicitly argued for a…

Book

Doing Right by Kids: Leveraging Social Capital and Innovation to Increase Opportunity

Material hardship among American children has never been lower. This seeming victory in the War…

Book Chapter

How to Better Measure Poverty

Book

The Great School Rethink

In The Great School Rethink, education policy sentinel Frederick M. Hess offers a pithy and perceptive…

Book

A Safety Net for the Future: Overcoming the Root Causes of Poverty

The 1996 welfare reform law replaced Aid to Families with Dependent Children with the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program, shifting the safety net toward work requirements, time limits, and greater state flexibility and accountability. Following these reforms, welfare caseloads fell sharply, employment among single mothers increased, and child poverty declined. However, many other programs subsequently expanded due in part to their lack of similar pro-work features, contributing to a complex system of rising spending on over 80 federal means-tested programs. Federal reforms should refocus the broader safety net on promoting work and marriage, strengthen state incentives to move recipients into employment, and reform refundable tax credits to better reward work while encouraging state innovation and accountability.

Book

American Renewal: A Conservative Plan to Strengthen the Social Contract and Save the Country’s Finances

The purpose of American Renewal: A Conservative Plan to Strengthen the Social Contract and Save the…

Book

How To Educate an American

In the years after A Nation at Risk, conservatives’ ideas to reform America’s lagging education system…

Book

Rethinking Reentry

Summary Policymakers and researchers have been searching for a solution to persistently high rates of recidivism for…