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April 15, 2025
Is There Really Pent-Up Demand for Ten Times the Manufacturing Jobs We Have?
Data analysis is hard. Admittedly, the consequences of getting it wrong are less severe than a botched surgery. But you still want to be very careful. It’s all too easy…
March 4, 2025
A Model for Effective and Reasonable Work Requirements
…Director for the Bronx, one of us (Scott Wetzler) has considerable experience implementing the WeCARE program model in a fair, reasonable, and effective manner. Applicants for TANF benefits who self-identify…
July 26, 2024
Two Cheers for Shrinking Black-White Opportunity Gaps
The latest in a series of important reports on social mobility by the research group Opportunity Insights is out, and it’s another conversation-changer. Across a variety of outcomes in adulthood…
July 11, 2024
Exploring Trends in Food Bank Use
…ask nearly identical questions, results from the HPS can differ substantially from the FSS. For example, a 2021 report by one of us (Rachidi, with co-author Scott Winship) demonstrated the…
March 11, 2024
How Many Forms of “Wage Insurance” Do We Need, Exactly?
…Scott Winship, “A Safety Net for the Future: Overcoming the Root Causes of Poverty,” in American Renewal, ed. Paul Ryan and Angela Rachidi. Consider just some of the major social…
February 27, 2024
Options for Improving the Child Tax Credit Provisions in H.R. 7024, the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024
H.R. 7024, the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024, passed the House on January 31, 2024 and now faces an uncertain fate in the Senate. The…
February 8, 2024
CTC Expansion Rooted in Desire to Roll Back Work-based Welfare
…led by our colleagues Kevin Corinth and Scott Winship, the potential negative employment effects from the proposed lookback policy are notable. We estimated a net employment reduction from a permanent…
February 8, 2024
Another Flawed Analysis Shows that Single Mothers are Highly Sensitive to Changes in Work Incentives
Tuesday, I published a critique of a paper by Council of Economic Advisers senior economist Jacob Bastian related to the debate over expanding the child tax credit (CTC). In that…
January 31, 2024
The Wyden-Smith Child Tax Credit and Work: Responding to Critics
The Wyden-Smith tax bill under consideration in the House has rekindled a debate about the Child Tax Credit (CTC) and work incentives. We, along with our colleagues, Angela Rachidi and…
January 30, 2024
How Sensitive Are Single Mothers’ Work Decisions to a Change in Incentives? Correcting Misperceptions of the Evidence
…see Winship (2022), p. 5 Chetty et al. (2013) 0.3-0.4 0.4-0.7 Y reported: Table 1; reanalyses of Eissa & Liebman and Meyer & Rosenbaum (below); single mothers revised: see Winship…