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October 15, 2025
Don’t Choose Your Own Adventure: Understanding Middle-Class Earnings Trends
What should we make of earnings trends in the United States? People can differ in their opinions about whether some reported trend is impressive or cause for concern, of course….
August 8, 2025
Revise the Messenger
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported out the latest employment numbers on Friday, August 1, finding that nonfarm establishments added just 73,000 jobs in July compared with June. That was a…
June 17, 2025
Work Requirements For Medicaid Could Increase Income and Reduce Poverty
New Congressional Budget Office figures last week indicate that the reconciliation bill passed by the House and under review in the Senate would reduce annual income among the poorest households by…
June 4, 2025
Congress Is Subsidizing the Wrong Neighborhoods
…rate. It was a worthy attempt at bolstering development in areas needing greater investment to stimulate the local economy. As The Times reported in 2018, Senator Tim Scott, a South Carolina Republican…
May 7, 2025
Did ‘China Shock’ Throw Millions of Americans Out of Work?
…uses a measure of total employment from Scott Winship, “America Is Still Working,” updated to 2024. (See end note 5 from that paper.) For 1939-2024, the manufacturing employment measure is from…
April 28, 2025
You Autor Know
Along with many other controversial issues in 2025, Americans are at odds over the merits of tariffs. Underlying this debate is a more specific one—the impact of increased trade with…
April 15, 2025
Is There Really Pent-Up Demand for Ten Times the Manufacturing Jobs We Have?
Data analysis is hard. Admittedly, the consequences of getting it wrong are less severe than a botched surgery. But you still want to be very careful. It’s all too easy…
April 9, 2025
Trump’s Tariff Formula Is Still Wrong. Maybe That’s Why No One Will Admit They Created It.
…Trade Representative as the source of the formula. And yesterday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent denied that he was involved. President Trump’s tariffs, within a week of being announced, have already…
March 27, 2025
The Looming Debt Crisis, the Trump Tax Cuts, and Medicaid
Let’s start with a chart to understand the dire fiscal situation we are in as a nation. Figure 1. Federal Debt Held by the Public as a Share of Gross…
March 24, 2025
Keeping Medicaid Sustainable While Prioritizing the Vulnerable
…you are unable to attend in person, a video livestream will be made available on this page. Agenda 11:00 a.m. Registration Opens 11:15 a.m. Opening Remarks: Scott Winship, Director, Center…