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May 7, 2025

Did ‘China Shock’ Throw Millions of Americans Out of Work?

…uses a measure of total employment from Scott Winship, “America Is Still Working,” updated to 2024. (See end note 5 from that paper.) For 1939-2024, the manufacturing employment measure is from…

April 28, 2025

You Autor Know

Along with many other controversial issues in 2025, Americans are at odds over the merits of tariffs. Underlying this debate is a more specific one—the impact of increased trade with…

April 15, 2025

Is There Really Pent-Up Demand for Ten Times the Manufacturing Jobs We Have?

Data analysis is hard. Admittedly, the consequences of getting it wrong are less severe than a botched surgery. But you still want to be very careful. It’s all too easy…

April 9, 2025

Trump’s Tariff Formula Is Still Wrong. Maybe That’s Why No One Will Admit They Created It.

…Trade Representative as the source of the formula. And yesterday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent denied that he was involved. President Trump’s tariffs, within a week of being announced, have already…

March 27, 2025

The Looming Debt Crisis, the Trump Tax Cuts, and Medicaid

Let’s start with a chart to understand the dire fiscal situation we are in as a nation. Figure 1. Federal Debt Held by the Public as a Share of Gross…

March 24, 2025

Keeping Medicaid Sustainable While Prioritizing the Vulnerable

…you are unable to attend in person, a video livestream will be made available on this page. Agenda 11:00 a.m. Registration Opens 11:15 a.m. Opening Remarks: Scott Winship, Director, Center…

March 13, 2025

Housing Roadblocks: Paving a New Way to Address Affordability

Thank you, Chairman Scott and ranking member Warren. Thank you, committee members. I am grateful and honored to have the opportunity to speak to you today. I am an economist…

March 4, 2025

A Model for Effective and Reasonable Work Requirements

…Director for the Bronx, one of us (Scott Wetzler) has considerable experience implementing the WeCARE program model in a fair, reasonable, and effective manner.  Applicants for TANF benefits who self-identify…

March 3, 2025

It’s Time for Time Limits on Public Housing

Like other Cabinet agencies, the Department of Housing and Urban Development is moving quickly to undo long-standing progressive policies. New HUD Secretary Scott Turner has asserted that the agency is now “DEI-free.” Perhaps even more…

February 28, 2025

Trump Stopped Biden’s Plan to Force DEI on Local Communities

…local governments,” new HUD Secretary Scott Turner has rolled that mandate back. HUD has replaced all the complications of the “Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing” rule with a simple requirement: a locality’s “own…