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May 7, 2025
Did ‘China Shock’ Throw Millions of Americans Out of Work?
…in Selected Countries, 1970-2022 By the time China became a member of the WTO, manufacturing employment had fallen 41 percent in the US since 1977 (the first year available for…
May 6, 2025
What DOGE Flagged as Unemployment Fraud Is Just the Tip of the Iceberg—Most of Which Will Never Be Recovered
…“approximately $81.2 billion of potential overpayments were not established and, thus, were not pursued for collection.” As the Washington Times curtly summarized, that’s “more than $80 billion in likely bogus payments that the states…
May 2, 2025
SNAP is About Nutrition: My Response to Zycher
…is useful here: nutrition is mentioned repeatedly, farmers are mentioned only once, and soda companies are mentioned zero times. We can learn something from President Trump’s administration and DOGE efforts…
April 30, 2025
Is The Collapse of Blue-Collar Marriage a Foregone Conclusion?
It’s been just over 40 years since Springsteen’s bestselling Born in the USA came out in 1984 — an album with “a rowdy indomitable spirit,” as Debby Miller wrote in Rolling Stone at the time. The…
April 30, 2025
The Student Loan Bubble Is about to Pop
…half of borrowers are not paying their loans on time. Data provided to me by Nelnet, the largest student-loan servicer, offers a grim look at repayment patterns. Read the full…
April 28, 2025
You Autor Know
…time, in this hypothetical, it might have been that many smaller CZs were more exposed to import competition and saw relatively large declines in manufacturing employment. Consistent with ADH, we…
April 28, 2025
House Republicans’ Proposed Repayment Plan Fixes Vexing Student Loan Problem
…paying enough to cover interest. The House proposal would ensure that borrowers who keep up with their payments will pay down their principal over time—and eventually pay off their balances…
April 25, 2025
What’s holding women back from starting a family?
…still find it so convincing? Why are young women reluctant to marry? New York Times opinion columnist Michelle Goldberg argued at the evening panel that women aren’t eschewing marriage because…
April 25, 2025
Trump Administration Announces Plan to Get Borrowers Paying Student Loans Again
…were not due, interest rates were zero, and loans in default were not collected. The government extended the pause several times before it finally lapsed, in effect, in October 2024….
April 25, 2025
A baby bonus is the wrong response to declining fertility
…their federal income tax withholding. It is worth noting that the generosity of federal benefits for children has increased substantially since 2007, over the same timeframe that the fertility rate…