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May 7, 2025
Did ‘China Shock’ Throw Millions of Americans Out of Work?
…uses a measure of total employment from Scott Winship, “America Is Still Working,” updated to 2024. (See end note 5 from that paper.) For 1939-2024, the manufacturing employment measure is from…
April 28, 2025
You Autor Know
Along with many other controversial issues in 2025, Americans are at odds over the merits of tariffs. Underlying this debate is a more specific one—the impact of increased trade with…
April 15, 2025
Is There Really Pent-Up Demand for Ten Times the Manufacturing Jobs We Have?
Data analysis is hard. Admittedly, the consequences of getting it wrong are less severe than a botched surgery. But you still want to be very careful. It’s all too easy…
April 9, 2025
Trump’s Tariff Formula Is Still Wrong. Maybe That’s Why No One Will Admit They Created It.
…Trade Representative as the source of the formula. And yesterday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent denied that he was involved. President Trump’s tariffs, within a week of being announced, have already…
March 27, 2025
The Looming Debt Crisis, the Trump Tax Cuts, and Medicaid
Let’s start with a chart to understand the dire fiscal situation we are in as a nation. Figure 1. Federal Debt Held by the Public as a Share of Gross…
March 13, 2025
Housing Roadblocks: Paving a New Way to Address Affordability
Thank you, Chairman Scott and ranking member Warren. Thank you, committee members. I am grateful and honored to have the opportunity to speak to you today. I am an economist…
March 4, 2025
A Model for Effective and Reasonable Work Requirements
…Director for the Bronx, one of us (Scott Wetzler) has considerable experience implementing the WeCARE program model in a fair, reasonable, and effective manner. Applicants for TANF benefits who self-identify…
March 3, 2025
It’s Time for Time Limits on Public Housing
Like other Cabinet agencies, the Department of Housing and Urban Development is moving quickly to undo long-standing progressive policies. New HUD Secretary Scott Turner has asserted that the agency is now “DEI-free.” Perhaps even more…
February 20, 2025
The American Dream Is Not a Coin Flip, and Wages Have Not Stagnated
…Hell, Robert Manduca, Jimmy Narang, “The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940.” Replication files available at https://opportunityinsights.org/data/?geographic_level=0&topic=0&paper_id=546#resource-listing. MACPI is from Scott Winship, “Introducing the More Accurate Consumer…
February 18, 2025
Family-Friendly Policies for the 119th Congress
Key Points American birth rates have hit record lows, but Americans still say they want children. Family formation seems unattainable to many parents. There is no single federal policy that…