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Research Archive

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May 19, 2025

The Case for Shifting More Welfare Costs to States

…hit state budgets hard at a time when state finances are already highly strained.” That view ignores the findings of a recent fiscal survey of states conducted by the National…

October 18, 2024

Pro-Marriage Conservatives Should Reject a Per-Child Phase-In of the Child Tax Credit

…reason to restrain a boost in the maximum credit amount. These three reforms are productive ways to increase the generosity of the credit, including for families with lower incomes. The…

August 2, 2024

Democrats’ Automatic Stimulus Proposals Undermine the Administration’s “Strongest Economy” Claims

…all governed by the Sahm rule. And last fall Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden (D-OR), accompanied by Bernie Sanders (I-VT), Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Michael Bennet (D-CO), and Sherrod Brown…

July 17, 2024

Key Takeaways from a New Report on Potential Unemployment Insurance Reforms

…huge new programs strained UI systems to the point of breaking. While the economy is currently healthy, it is critical that policymakers and states take steps to prepare for the…

June 10, 2024

Employment and Labor Supply Responses to the Child Tax Credit Expansion: Theory and Evidence

Abstract The 2021 Child Tax Credit (CTC) expansion increased government benefits to families, and especially to families with the lowest incomes. Economic theory predicts that this policy intervention would have…

February 8, 2024

CTC Expansion Rooted in Desire to Roll Back Work-based Welfare

…benefits. Specific efforts to achieve full refundability, and thereby eliminate the CTC’s work requirement, soon followed. Senator Michael Bennet (D-CO) proposed eliminating the CTC’s work requirement in 2015, and several…

February 6, 2024

Research by a Top Biden Administration Economist Reinforces the Importance of Work Incentives in the Child Tax Credit and the Safety Net

…since 1950.” (p. 4) Bastian cites the research of Schanzenbach and Strain (2020) to argue that a reasonable guess for the true employment effect of eliminating just the EITC would…

January 30, 2024

How Sensitive Are Single Mothers’ Work Decisions to a Change in Incentives? Correcting Misperceptions of the Evidence

…p. 2715-2717; EITC-eligible families w/ children (incl. married) Lippold (2019) 0.4-1.0 — Y p. 43-45 (lower-income parents, not just single mothers); unpublished Schanzenbach and Strain (2020) 0.9-1.5 — Y Corinth…

January 17, 2024

Tax Extenders Package Would Cut the Child Tax Credit’s Annual Work Requirement in Half

…in a Congress that has strained to find agreement on even routine matters. But some pro-work legislators may be troubled by one provision that would cut in half the current annual work requirement for parents…

November 21, 2023

Defining Poverty Up

…(which he opposed) contributed to rapid improvements in crime rates and welfare dependence. By 1997, columnist Michael Barone credibly argued that, of gains on both fronts, “The Good News Is…