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February 26, 2026
Young Men’s Earnings over the Long Run – An Update
…have reduced the burdens on men to maximize their earnings in order to bear the responsibilities of breadwinning. This lessened responsibility, in turn, has reduced men’s incentives to invest in…
November 27, 2025
The Real Math of Survival?
…again. Let’s try and recreate his total, using the 2023 data for married-couple parents with no child age 6 or older. That will maximize the share of spending going to…
October 15, 2025
Don’t Choose Your Own Adventure: Understanding Middle-Class Earnings Trends
…fertility left an increasing share of young men without family responsibilities, which could have reduced their incentives to maximize earnings and invest in human capital. Solutions to the economic problems…
May 7, 2025
Did ‘China Shock’ Throw Millions of Americans Out of Work?
…41 percent in the Netherlands, 39 percent in Spain, 44 percent in Sweden, and 52 percent in the United Kingdom.[1] In fact, manufacturing as a share of employment had already…
February 20, 2025
The American Dream Is Not a Coin Flip, and Wages Have Not Stagnated
…David Grusky, Maximilian Hell, Robert Manduca, Jimmy Narang, “The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940.” Replication files available at https://opportunityinsights.org/data/?geographic_level=0&topic=0&paper_id=546#resource-listing. These results were the basis for…
January 7, 2025
Tax Policy Should Prioritize Shoring Up the Family
…one child each would each receive a maximum of around $4,300 in 2025, but if they married they would both qualify for a maximum of over $7,100 (using the schedule for two…
September 10, 2024
America is Still Working
…likely reduced men’s wages. With more men single and childless, and for longer, they face less pressure to be breadwinners. That may affect the weight they put on maximizing their…
June 18, 2024
Economic Opportunity and Social Mobility
…Australia, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Finland. The evidence is ambiguous as to whether America’s absolute mobility looks worse than or the same as that of Denmark and the…
May 14, 2024
Understanding Trends in Worker Pay over the Past 50 years
…declined. Along with reduced fertility and greater economic opportunities for women, the decline in marriage led men to prioritize values other than maximizing their pay. The painful transition for men…
March 28, 2024
An Early Look at the Child Tax Credit Changes in the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024
…providing corporate tax relief, the legislation would change the CTC in four ways. First, the maximum CTC benefit would be indexed to inflation. Second, the maximum refundable credit would increase…