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July 1, 2025
Irresistible Force, Meet the Immovable Object
Some important new numbers are out on the future of the US labor supply, highlighting how a confluence of factors—demographic aging, economic growth, and restrictive immigration policy—are conspiring to create historically tight labor markets in the coming years. The impacts of these trends on businesses and consumers will be pervasive, difficult to manage, and annoying. Americans, I…
June 23, 2025
The Future of Work Is a Liminal Space
It’s been another breathless week in the business of projecting how artificial intelligence will reshape the US (and global) labor markets. Following Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s warnings of an AI “bloodbath,” several major tech companies announced plans to make significant workforce reductions, citing AI efficiencies as the reason. LinkedIn co-founder and Netflix board member Reid Hoffman stepped into the conversation…