All Research
Blog Post
Refocusing the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation on Achieving Deep Cost Reductions
…equal to 1.7 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects it will be 6.3 percent of GDP in 2026 and 7.3 percent in 2036. The added cost…
Commentary
Summary and Analysis of the “Stop Unemployment Fraud Act”
…at least $191 billion in losses to improper unemployment benefit payments, based on an estimated 21.5 percent improper payment rate across all programs. However, that February 2023 estimate by the…
Op-Ed
Everything You Thought About the US Labor Market Is Wrong
…at the time of this writing is expected by the Atlanta Fed to grow at 3.7 per cent in the fourth quarter. Growth in real consumer spending and gross fixed…
Testimony
Congressional Testimony: Unlocking Capital to Save the American Dream
…loan. This is feasible by combining the seller’s savings on capital gains taxes ($18,000 gross and $14,000 net to the IRS), and sales commission and sale preparation expenses ($18,000 and…
Commentary
The Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit Should Not Subsidize Stay-at-Home Parents
…Difference Gross earnings Primary earner $100,000 $100,000 $0 Secondary earner $0 $20,000 $20,000 Total $100,000 $120,000 $20,000 Childcare cost $0 $20,000 $20,000 Net earnings $100,000 $100,000 $0…
Article
President Trump and Institutional Investors in Single-Family Rentals
…strong economic growth. If gross domestic product were to grow at 3-4% and mortgage rates drop from 6.2% to say 4.5%, the result would be strong upward pressure on home…
Op-Ed
AI Changes NOTHING About What Students Need to Learn
…Clune quotes sociologist Gabriel Rossman, who notes, “Careful use of AI helps me at work, but that is because I completed my education decades ago and have been actively studying…
Blog Post
Did ICE Raids and Wildfires Slow California’s Progress on Student Absenteeism?
…cross-state comparisons in my Return to Learn Tracker. This figure differs slightly from the state’s published figure of 19.4 percent, which removes students duplicated across districts.) Unfortunately, this slowdown is…
Commentary
Is the US Really an Outlier on Pregnancy Deaths, and Have Such Deaths Spiked?
…The Week article apparently compares this figure to the UK, Canada, and Norway’s maternal mortality rate, which results in an erroneous and overstated cross-country disparity.[5] Another headline from earlier this…
Op-Ed
The Golden Age of Public Housing—and Why It Didn’t Last
…Mary Wilson met Diana Ross and Florence Ballard and formed the famous Motown group The Supremes. “Moving into the projects as a child was like moving into a wonderland for…
Report
In Pursuit: Marriage, Motherhood, And Women’s Well-Being
…(2013). 5 Steven Stack and J.Ross Eshleman, “Marital status and happiness: A 17-nation study,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 60 (2018): 527-536. 6 Sam Peltzman, “The Socio-Political Demography of Happiness,” George…
Commentary
Perspective on the OBBBA’s SNAP Cuts
…precedent. In FY 2024, the average payment error rate across states was 10.93 percent, and 43 states or territories exceeded the 6 percent target. However, these high payment errors are a relatively…