Skip to main content
Op-Ed

The Truth about Trends in Worker Pay

National Review

May 30, 2024

Time was, only progressives made outlandish claims such as that hourly wages have been stagnant for more than half a century. But with the rise of populism on the right, “doomerism” now transcends ideology. It’s the national-conservative group American Compass that is now saying that the typical worker makes only 1 percent more today than he did 50 years ago. This doomerist Right is as wrong as the old declensionist Left.

As I show in a new paper, the truth is that the typical worker aged 25 to 54 makes 32 percent more than the typical worker did in 1973. The increase has been at least that large for whites, blacks, Hispanics, and other workers. Moreover, the typical worker’s pay has risen as much as economic fundamentals would predict, with one important historical exception. Populist demonization of employers and the rich may feel good, but the best way to increase wages is still strong economic growth.

Read the entire piece here.

There Are Many Reasons to Cheer Up About the State of the Middle Class

April 11, 2026 | Scott Winship

This piece originally appeared at National Review Online and is reprinted here with permission. Statistics show that...

Missing Boy Jacob Pritchett Is a Reminder of Why We Can’t Leave Disabled Kids with Ill-Equipped Parents

March 29, 2026 | Naomi Schaefer Riley

It has been a year since anyone saw Jacob Pritchett. The 11-year-old boy, who is autistic...

Refocusing the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation on Achieving Deep Cost Reductions

March 26, 2026 | James C. Capretta

Spending on Medicare and Medicaid is pushing the federal budget to the breaking point, but, in...

The More Things Change, Medicaid Edition

March 25, 2026 | James C. Capretta

“Clinics” with suspect professional credentials running up bills for publicly-insured low-income patients. Outlandish claim volumes...