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Research Archive

July 3, 2025

A Republican Bailout for Blue Cities? The Low-Income Housing Tax Credit Trap Explained

The Republican Party’s much-touted “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” includes a $14 billion bailout for some of America’s worst-run cities, all thanks to the proposed expansion of the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC). Doing so would funnel billions more into a program that props up a fundamentally broken housing system without adding the new supply desperately needed…

June 30, 2025

America’s Six Million Home Shortage: Why California Is at the Epicenter

A growing body of research estimates that the US faces a severe housing shortage, with missing homes numbering between 3.8 million and 8.2 million. Using the midpoint—approximately six million missing homes—new AEI Housing Center analysis shows where this shortage is most acute and why about two million missing homes can be traced back to California and its neighbors….

June 26, 2025

Does Building Light-Touch Density Housing Lower Single-Family Home Values? Evidence from Seattle, WA and Charlotte, NC

Summary: Opponents of Light-touch Density (LTD) infill argue that it will lead to outright home price declines or, at the very least, slower home price appreciation (HPA). However, evidence from Charlotte and Seattle shows that the construction of LTD housing—such as duplexes and townhomes—does not adversely impact HPA of single-family detached (SFD) homes in the…

June 24, 2025

Public Housing and Rental Subsidies

Since the 1930s, the federal government has subsidized local housing projects aimed at uplifting the poor. The specific policies have evolved, but the theory has been that federal aid is needed because the states cannot solve their own housing problems and private markets fail to invest in affordable housing. Federal housing efforts are led by…

June 24, 2025

Why Do Republicans Support the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit?

President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” aims to avert the tax increases that would result from the expiration of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and it’s drawn criticism for not doing enough to reduce the debt or deficit. Earlier in June, The Washington Post reported on publicly funded homes in some cities costing taxpayers more than…

June 23, 2025

Boston’s Backward Housing Policy: More Demand Will Only Exacerbate the Supply Crisis

Boston’s housing policies keep treating symptoms while ignoring the disease. Last month, the city proudly unveiled its Co-Purchasing Housing Pilot Program, offering $50,000 in zero-interest, deferred-payment loans to help lower-income households cover down payments and closing costs on multi-family homes. The idea is to allow multiple individuals to pool resources and purchase homes together. It sounds…

June 10, 2025

America’s Housing Supply Problem: The Closing of the Suburban Frontier?

Housing prices across much of America have hit historic highs, while less housing is being built. If the U.S. housing stock had expanded at the same rate from 2000-2020 as it did from 1980-2000, there would be 15 million more housing units. This paper analyzes the decline of America’s new housing supply, focusing on large…

June 5, 2025

More Evidence of How Housing Regulation Is Bad for Housing

The American Dream’s geographic escape hatch is slamming shut. New research reveals that once-affordable sunbelt cities like Phoenix, Dallas, and Miami now mirror the restrictive housing markets of San Francisco and New York. The implications for economic dynamism are profound and worrisome. For decades, America’s housing market operated on a simple safety valve principle: When…

June 4, 2025

Congress Is Subsidizing the Wrong Neighborhoods

When President Trump signed Republicans’ 2017 tax legislation into law, one section in it stood out for its ambitious goal: directing private investment dollars to left-behind communities. The law provides a tax incentive for long-term investment in economically disadvantaged communities that were designated by governors as so-called opportunity zones, subject to federal standards based on the communities’…

May 27, 2025

The Surprising Role of Large Developers in Solving the Housing Crunch

Against the odds—and conventional wisdom—the nation’s largest home builders have engineered a dramatic shift toward serving first-time homebuyers (FTBs). New data from the AEI Housing Center show that in 2024, 51.2% of all new construction sales by the top 20 builders went to FTBs, up significantly from just 38.6% in 2014. This shift has occurred…