Skip to main content
Book

Rethinking Reentry

AEI

January 17, 2020

Summary

Policymakers and researchers have been searching for a solution to persistently high rates of recidivism for decades. While the number of incarcerated individuals under federal and state jurisdiction has decreased in recent years and is currently at a 10-year low, the United States still incarcerates more people per capita than any other nation. This level of incarceration has real consequences. 

By some estimates, nearly 70 million Americans have a criminal record. According to a Bureau of Justice Statistics report, if you are a male born in 2001, there is a one in nine chance you will find yourself in prison in your lifetime. We see wide variations when broken down by race, with white men having a one in 17 chance of experiencing imprisonment, while black and Hispanic men have a one in three and one in six chance, respectively. Women have considerably better odds at a one in 56 chance, although the number of incarcerated women has jumped significantly over the past few decades. 

Unfortunately, the vast majority of the nearly 600,000 people released from federal and state prisons every year cannot successfully transition back into our neighborhoods and communities, often swiftly returning to incarceration for new crimes. A 2018 Bureau of Justice Statistics report reinforces this dismal reality. The study examined nearly 68,000 people released from state prisons in 2005 and found that 83 percent—roughly equivalent to five out of six—were arrested again within nine years of their release. 

Access the full version here.

New York Families Are Doing Better Than You’ve Heard

June 10, 2026 | Scott Winship

Is the middle class in danger? On social media and in the news, Americans regularly...

What Liberals Get Wrong About the Middle Class

June 8, 2026 | Scott Winship and Stephen Rose

It’s a common refrain: The middle class is hollowing out; Americans overall are increasingly falling...

Stranded by the Safety Net: Addressing Benefit Cliffs to Assist Families and Businesses

June 3, 2026 | Angela Rachidi

Chairman Ernst, Ranking Member Markey, and members of the Small Business Committee. Thank you for...

Poverty and Dependency in the United States, 1939–2023

June 3, 2026 | Kevin Corinth and Richard Burkhauser

In 1964, President Lyndon Johnson declared the War on Poverty. This set in motion the...