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January 24, 2025
Testing Theories of Why: Four Keys to Interpreting US Student Achievement Trends
…of test takers. Since 2011, the US has experienced the highest absolute achievement gap growth internationally. Adult performance trends on international assessments during this period reflect those of students, suggesting…
January 22, 2025
How the Trump Administration Can Hit Its Growth Target
…recognizing that some policy shifts that increase output might adversely affect other areas of social interest (such as the distribution of income) or even national security, policymakers should focus squarely…
January 10, 2025
Marriage: America’s Keystone Institution
…than ever for the well-being of children and adults, at least on some outcomes. Scholars, journalists, professionals, and policymakers should not only take note of marriage’s rising value, but they…
January 7, 2025
Tax Policy Should Prioritize Shoring Up the Family
…have kids and rely on a sole breadwinner were thwarted by objections that a child allowance would also promote single-parent families in which no one worked. Policymakers seeking to use…
January 6, 2025
Congress Can Block Student Loan Cancellation—Forever
…extend the 2017 tax cuts, increase funding for immigration enforcement, and pursue other priorities. Lawmakers will need to find budget offsets to pay for all this. Most of the savings…
January 2, 2025
AI Will Have a Major Impact on Labor Markets. Here’s How the US Can Prepare
…the nation’s analytic systems and reports are not geared to produce the forward-looking “headlight” measures decision-makers need to navigate ambiguous, rapidly evolving technological change. Federal statistical data usually tell us…
December 30, 2024
What’s behind the unprecedented rise in homelessness, and how can we reverse it?
…research published in 2017 I found only modest effects of permanent supportive housing on homeless populations. Thus, policymakers should not expect that further expansions of the stock of permanent supportive…
December 27, 2024
DOGE Can Drive Reforms in America’s Broken Safety Net Programs
…poverty. But reform could be on the horizon, led by the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). DOGE can address these staggering failures by identifying how lawmakers can streamline programs…
December 20, 2024
Fixing Inflation, Right-Sizing the Federal Government
…(GDP)—a level not seen since 1958. When the 119th Congress and the second presidency of Donald Trump begin next month, policymakers will face a much more daunting fiscal crisis. Federal…
December 17, 2024
Industrial Policy and Deficits: Dark Clouds for Democratic Capitalism
…who wants a job can get a job. The unemployment rate remains very low — well under the rate at which most economists and Federal Reserve policymakers believe is sustainable…