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May 20, 2025

The share of Medicaid recipients in compliance with the House bill’s community engagement requirement

Last week, the House Committee on Energy and Commerce approved several changes to Medicaid as part of the reconciliation bill. One major change is the imposition of community engagement requirements for non-disabled working age adults without dependent children. This change would take effect in January 2029, although some House members have argued for moving up…

May 14, 2025

An Evaluation of Cost-Saving Reforms to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program

Abstract Congress is considering ways to reduce spending on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) by $230 billion over 10 years. Reforms will likely include one or more of the following cost-saving elements: reducing the maximum SNAP benefit, reducing deductions, expanding work requirements, and ending broad-based categorical eligibility. I analyze each of these reforms, focusing on the…

April 25, 2025

A baby bonus is the wrong response to declining fertility

The Trump Administration is reportedly considering ways to reverse declining fertility in the United States, most notably a $5,000 “baby bonus” for any mother who gives birth. The administration is right to worry about the fertility rate, which has been on a steady decline since 2007 to the point where the number of new babies…

April 9, 2025

Trump’s Tariff Formula Is Still Wrong. Maybe That’s Why No One Will Admit They Created It.

Last Friday, we showed that the Trump Administration’s tariff formula contained an error that made its calculated tariffs up to four times too large. The entire premise of the administration’s approach—that a country’s tariff and non-tariff trade barriers can be derived solely from the bilateral trade balance with that country, and that the goal of…

April 8, 2025

Discussing President Trump’s tariff formula miscalculation: Corinth on CNN News Central

Kevin Corinth, Deputy Director of the Center on Opportunity and Social Mobility, discusses President Trump’s tariff formula alongside AEI’s Stan Veuger on CNN News Central.

April 7, 2025

Discussing President Trump’s tariff formula: Corinth on ‘Bloomberg Insight’

Kevin Corinth, Deputy Director of the Center on Opportunity and Social Mobility, discusses how President Trump’s formula to calculate tariffs was incorrect on Bloomberg TV’s ‘Bloomberg Insight.’

April 4, 2025

President Trump’s Tariff Formula Makes No Economic Sense. It’s Also Based on an Error.

President Trump on Wednesday announced tariffs on practically every foreign country (and some non-countries), ranging from a 10 percent minimum all the way up to 50 percent. The economic fallout has been dramatic, with the stock market losing nine percent of its value (based on the S&P 500 index at the time of writing) and…

March 18, 2025

Poorly Defined: Reforming the Poverty Line | POLICY LENS

Ever since President Lyndon B. Johnson declared a “war on poverty” in 1964, the US Safety Net has been remarkably effective in reducing the number of Americans living in poverty; but measuring the magnitude of that success is not so straight forward. AEI’s Kevin Corinth explains that defining poverty is largely a decision of society,…

March 13, 2025

Two Charts Show Why a Trade War Over Fentanyl Doesn’t Make Sense

Following a month-long pause, President Trump last week reimposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, only to pause many of them again two days later. Different reasons have been offered by the Trump Administration for the tariffs, but in recent days the President’s advisers have honed in on one reason in particular: Fentanyl is being shipped across our borders with…

March 11, 2025

An Evaluation of Cost Saving Reforms of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program

AbstractCongress is considering ways to reduce spending on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) by $230 billion over ten years. Reforms are likely to include one or more of the following cost-saving elements: reducing the maximum SNAP benefit, reducing deductions, expanding work requirements, and ending broad based categorical eligibility. In this paper I analyze each…