All Research
Op-Ed
Chicago’s “Disappearing Middle Class” Can Be Found in Its Proliferating Upper Middle-Class Neighborhoods
In a recent report with Stephen Rose, I argued that the narrative of a “shrinking middle class” was based on a kernel of truth, but one that undermines economic pessimism….
Op-Ed
There Are Many Reasons to Cheer Up About the State of the Middle Class
This piece originally appeared at National Review Online and is reprinted here with permission. Statistics show that the middle class is healthier and more secure than ever before. This week, Michael…
Op-Ed
Work Requirements For Medicaid Could Increase Income and Reduce Poverty
New Congressional Budget Office figures last week indicate that the reconciliation bill passed by the House and under review in the Senate would reduce annual income among the poorest households by…
Op-Ed
Congress Is Subsidizing the Wrong Neighborhoods
…rate. It was a worthy attempt at bolstering development in areas needing greater investment to stimulate the local economy. As The Times reported in 2018, Senator Tim Scott, a South Carolina Republican…
Op-Ed
Did ‘China Shock’ Throw Millions of Americans Out of Work?
…uses a measure of total employment from Scott Winship, “America Is Still Working,” updated to 2024. (See end note 5 from that paper.) For 1939-2024, the manufacturing employment measure is from…
Op-Ed
The Looming Debt Crisis, the Trump Tax Cuts, and Medicaid
Let’s start with a chart to understand the dire fiscal situation we are in as a nation. Figure 1. Federal Debt Held by the Public as a Share of Gross…
Op-Ed
It’s Time for Time Limits on Public Housing
Like other Cabinet agencies, the Department of Housing and Urban Development is moving quickly to undo long-standing progressive policies. New HUD Secretary Scott Turner has asserted that the agency is now “DEI-free.” Perhaps even more…
Op-Ed
Trump Stopped Biden’s Plan to Force DEI on Local Communities
…local governments,” new HUD Secretary Scott Turner has rolled that mandate back. HUD has replaced all the complications of the “Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing” rule with a simple requirement: a locality’s “own…
Op-Ed
The American Dream Is Not a Coin Flip, and Wages Have Not Stagnated
…Hell, Robert Manduca, Jimmy Narang, “The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940.” Replication files available at https://opportunityinsights.org/data/?geographic_level=0&topic=0&paper_id=546#resource-listing. MACPI is from Scott Winship, “Introducing the More Accurate Consumer…
Op-Ed
Snip, Snip: Spending Cuts Are Coming
…foreseeable future. Just the interest on the debt totals almost $1 trillion per year, exceeding the cost of national defense. For Republicans, the underlying problem is simple: As Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described in his…
Op-Ed
How the Trump Administration Can Hit Its Growth Target
By setting an ambitious 3% growth target, US Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent has provided the Trump administration a North Star to follow in devising its economic policies. The task…
Article
Should We Believe the Economic Data or Americans’ “Lyin’” Eyes? The Answer Is Yes.
…living standards have changed over the long run. Scott Winship is a senior fellow and the director of the Center on Opportunity and Social Mobility at the American Enterprise Institute…