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Research Archive

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June 18, 2024

Economic Opportunity and Social Mobility

…Australia, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Finland. The evidence is ambiguous as to whether America’s absolute mobility looks worse than or the same as that of Denmark and the…

May 14, 2024

Understanding Trends in Worker Pay over the Past 50 years

…declined. Along with reduced fertility and greater economic opportunities for women, the decline in marriage led men to prioritize values other than maximizing their pay. The painful transition for men…

April 23, 2024

Awkward Truth: Subsidizing Women’s Work Drives Down Birthrates

…minister of state for universities and science. New York Times columnist Michelle Goldberg argued that “in countries that support working mothers, like Sweden, Denmark, Norway and France, birthrates are basically fine.”…

April 9, 2024

The Child Tax Credit: My Long-Read Q&A with Kevin Corinth

…as “middle class tax relief.” That’s not really what it was. It was in the sense that it increased that maximum payment, but you’re right, the fundamental change was that…

April 5, 2024

What’s Wrong with the US Economy? Anything?

…strong growth, price stability and maximum sustainable employment. So, what’s not to like?  In the short term, high inflation is still an issue. It remains stubbornly sticky, stirring fears of a possible resurgence,…

March 28, 2024

An Early Look at the Child Tax Credit Changes in the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024

…providing corporate tax relief, the legislation would change the CTC in four ways. First, the maximum CTC benefit would be indexed to inflation. Second, the maximum refundable credit would increase…

March 4, 2024

Social conservatives who care about marriage should think twice about a “per-child” refundable Child Tax Credit

…encourage marriage, they should focus on increasing the maximum CTC benefit rather than increasing the CTC’s phase-in for families with multiple children. 72% of single moms work. It is thus…

February 27, 2024

Options for Improving the Child Tax Credit Provisions in H.R. 7024, the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024

…H.R. 7024, we recommend several improvements to its CTC provisions, including provisions to retain and provisions to drop. Provisions to Retain Increase the Maximum CTC to Account for the Rising…

January 19, 2024

The Work Incentive and Employment Effects of Eliminating the Child Tax Credit’s Annual Income Requirement

…Tax Credit’s annual income requirement by allowing individuals to calculate their eligibility using their current or prior year’s income, whichever year maximizes the family’s benefit. We show that for the…

January 12, 2024

Congress Shouldn’t Expand Welfare in Return for Corporate Tax Cuts

maximum benefit. Adopting the 2021 maximum credit amounts of up to $3,600 would cost upwards of $80 billion per year. Modest reforms to the Child Tax Credit that support working families could…