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June 18, 2024

Economic Opportunity and Social Mobility

…Australia, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Finland. The evidence is ambiguous as to whether America’s absolute mobility looks worse than or the same as that of Denmark and the…

May 14, 2024

Understanding Trends in Worker Pay over the Past 50 years

…declined. Along with reduced fertility and greater economic opportunities for women, the decline in marriage led men to prioritize values other than maximizing their pay. The painful transition for men…

April 9, 2024

The Child Tax Credit: My Long-Read Q&A with Kevin Corinth

…as “middle class tax relief.” That’s not really what it was. It was in the sense that it increased that maximum payment, but you’re right, the fundamental change was that…

April 5, 2024

What’s Wrong with the US Economy? Anything?

…strong growth, price stability and maximum sustainable employment. So, what’s not to like?  In the short term, high inflation is still an issue. It remains stubbornly sticky, stirring fears of a possible resurgence,…

March 28, 2024

An Early Look at the Child Tax Credit Changes in the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024

…providing corporate tax relief, the legislation would change the CTC in four ways. First, the maximum CTC benefit would be indexed to inflation. Second, the maximum refundable credit would increase…

February 7, 2024

Solving Benefit Cliffs in SNAP

…benefit amounts phase out as household earnings increase. Households with no income receive the maximum benefit—$766 per month for a family of three—but for each additional dollar that a household…

February 7, 2024

Child Tax Credit Bill Would Increase Marriage Penalties for Working Single Mothers

…apply the proposed $1,800 maximum refundable CTC. The per-child refundable CTC is 45 percent of earned income above $2,500 before phasing out as the non-refundable CTC phases in. We apply…

January 29, 2024

Per-Child Benefit in Wyden-Smith Child Tax Credit Bill Would Discourage Full-Time Work for Families with Multiple Children

…amount as the maximum non-refundable CTC. Second, it would begin indexing the maximum non-refundable CTC with inflation. Third, it would apply a one-year lookback for qualifying for the refundable portion…

January 29, 2024

Let’s Not Turn the Child Tax Credit Into Welfare

…the maximum per-child benefit would be pegged to inflation, allowing it to rise above $2,000 in future years. A heated debate over these changes has quickly emerged. Democrats have emphasized…

January 19, 2024

The Work Incentive and Employment Effects of Eliminating the Child Tax Credit’s Annual Income Requirement

…Tax Credit’s annual income requirement by allowing individuals to calculate their eligibility using their current or prior year’s income, whichever year maximizes the family’s benefit. We show that for the…