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March 27, 2025

The Looming Debt Crisis, the Trump Tax Cuts, and Medicaid

…the federal debt held by the public in 2034 is $53 trillion or $54 trillion instead of just $50 trillion—let those figures sink in—hardly seems to matter at this late…

March 20, 2025

To Transform K-12 Education, the Trump Administration Should Measure What Matters

…states saw a decrease in scores from 2019 to 2024 in 8th-grade math. Tennessee, the sole exception, showed no change at all. To help analyze results, NAEP is legally required to collect…

March 17, 2025

Trump Should Put an End to Rent Control

…in rent-regulated units earn more than $100,000 annually. As a practical matter, owners have an incentive to rent to higher-income tenants to ensure rents, even if low, will at least…

March 10, 2025

Many Children Left Behind: The 2024 National Assessment of Educational Progress Results Indicate a Five-Alarm Fire

…“Students reaching [proficiency] have demonstrated competency over challenging subject matter, including subject-matter knowledge, application of such knowledge to real world situations, and analytical skills appropriate to the subject matter.”3 For example,…

February 24, 2025

What Do You Call an Automatic Stabilizer that Doesn’t Shrink When Conditions Improve? The Biden Food Stamps Blowout

Last month the Wall Street Journal editorial board (“The Great Biden Welfare Blowout”) reviewed the staggering number of welfare recipients in key programs at the close of the Biden administration: …

February 20, 2025

The American Dream Is Not a Coin Flip, and Wages Have Not Stagnated

…the line for 30-year-olds, it’s not a good match with the public opinion average. The yellow line uses a different methodology to adjust 40-year-old incomes for the rising cost of…

February 14, 2025

Poverty During the Pandemic and the Role of Government Transfers

…amounts match those reported in administrative records. We also impute the values of the EIPs and CTC to match these administrative totals. Nevertheless, errors in this imputation process, as well…

February 7, 2025

Low-Performing Students Fall Farther Behind the Pack

…including subject-matter knowledge, application of such knowledge to real-world situations, and analytical skills appropriate to the subject matter.” Grade 4 students reaching the proficient level should be able to describe…

February 4, 2025

Snip, Snip: Spending Cuts Are Coming 

Republicans’ agenda of cutting taxes and increasing spending on their policy priorities depends significantly on identifying productive spending reductions. But just cutting spending will not be enough. Republicans must also…

January 24, 2025

Testing Theories of Why: Four Keys to Interpreting US Student Achievement Trends

…assessments gauge reading and math for ages nine and 13 from 1978 to 2022. The Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) assesses science and math for grades four…