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April 25, 2025

A baby bonus is the wrong response to declining fertility

The Trump Administration is reportedly considering ways to reverse declining fertility in the United States, most notably a $5,000 “baby bonus” for any mother who gives birth. The administration is…

April 23, 2025

In Case of Emergency, Open Block Grant: Part 2

Congress’s efforts to produce “one big, beautiful bill” that reflects President Donald Trump’s tax and spending priorities is about to kick into high gear as the House and Senate turn…

April 23, 2025

In Case of Emergency, Open Block Grant: Part 1

Congress’s efforts to produce “one big, beautiful bill” that reflects President Donald Trump’s tax and spending priorities is about to kick into high gear as the House and Senate turn…

April 15, 2025

Is There Really Pent-Up Demand for Ten Times the Manufacturing Jobs We Have?

Data analysis is hard. Admittedly, the consequences of getting it wrong are less severe than a botched surgery. But you still want to be very careful. It’s all too easy…

March 4, 2025

A Model for Effective and Reasonable Work Requirements

As Congress considers instituting work requirements to maintain eligibility for Medicaid, it is illustrative to examine an effective model for how such requirements have been implemented in New York City…

February 24, 2025

What Do You Call an Automatic Stabilizer that Doesn’t Shrink When Conditions Improve? The Biden Food Stamps Blowout

Last month the Wall Street Journal editorial board (“The Great Biden Welfare Blowout”) reviewed the staggering number of welfare recipients in key programs at the close of the Biden administration: …

December 30, 2024

What’s behind the unprecedented rise in homelessness, and how can we reverse it?

The annual United States homeless population estimates for 2024 were released last week. Homelessness grew by a record 18% annually in 2024, following a then record 12% increase in 2023….

October 30, 2024

A SNAP Reform Framework Focused on the Future

No matter the outcome of next week’s election, we can be certain that the new President and Congress will confront urgent policy and legislative challenges. One priority issue for the…

September 24, 2024

Household Food Insecurity Rises Again – Inflation, especially for households ineligible for safety net programs, to blame

Each year the USDA issues a closely-followed report on the extent of food insecurity in the United States. This year, the USDA reported 13.5 percent of US households were food…

September 19, 2024

Government benefit programs already do a lot to help low income families

Politicians, policy analysts, and advocates have proposed increasing the generosity of the Child Tax Credit (CTC), as a means of providing more resources to low-income families with children. Before deciding…