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Research Archive

April 24, 2025

AI “Slop” Comes for Job Interviews

We have all gotten used to the idea that generative AI can help bad writers become better (or at least appear to be better) than they are when left to their own skills. This has resulted in some challenges for hiring managers struggling to cope with the tsunami of applications and cover letters that make…

April 21, 2025

The City That’s Always Working

Among the sectors of the US economy most exposed to AI-driven automation is finance. This is unsurprising given that banking and financial advising are massive knowledge management operations, constantly scanning the globe—like the Eye of Sauron—for opportunities and risks.  One of the main applications of AI in the finance sector is helping firms understand themselves,…

April 9, 2025

Measuring and Building Human Leadership in an AI World

A new working paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research, Measuring Human Leadership Skills With AI Agents, presents evidence that artificial intelligence may soon play a central role in evaluating human soft skills—long considered too complex and subjective to measure objectively.  Conducted by Ben Weidmann and David Deming et al. at the Harvard Kennedy School,…

March 25, 2025

AI Talent: It’s Not Just for High Tech Anymore

We appear to be approaching the break-out phase of artificial intelligence’s diffusion across the American economy. As reported in the Wall Street Journal, recent data from the University of Maryland’s  AI job tracker finds that nearly 25 percent of tech job postings earlier this year mentioned AI skills. And it isn’t just the tech sector that’s hiring—finance, professional…

March 3, 2025

Up in the Air

For whom is the bell tolling? When it comes to the leading-edge impacts of artificial intelligence (AI) on the workforce the answer appears to be well-paid, middle managers at some of the nation’s leading high-tech firms. As the Financial Times reported late last week, Amazon has announced the elimination of nearly 14,000 jobs concentrated in the ranks…

February 27, 2025

Powering AI: The Energy Workforce Crisis No One Is Talking About

We are used to thinking about how burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) may affect jobs and employment. Usually, this means fixating on whether or not AI systems will replace or augment human labor. What is less often considered is the way AI will, and in fact already does, spur new demand for labor that has nothing…

February 24, 2025

AI and American Dynamism

Last year, I published a report, The Age of Uncertainty, on the challenges in understanding and estimating the job and skill impacts of artificial intelligence. One of the big problems was how quickly expert estimates become outdated, not due to any fault on the part of the experts, but because of how rapidly AI is evolving….

January 3, 2025

AI and People: Better Together

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) has sparked widespread debate about its potential to displace highly-skilled workers. Recent research by Emilio Colombo and his colleagues, Towards the Terminator Economy, offers a more encouraging view. The authors’ findings suggest that among more highly skilled workers, generative AI may actually enhance productivity, increase wages, and boost employment….

November 15, 2024

Calibration: Making AI a Partner at Work

Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping the workforce, yet the workers who stand to benefit the most are often the most wary of it. Lower-skilled and less-educated workers view AI as a threat, fearing job loss and marginalization. But research tells a different story. These workers could gain the most from AI—if they learn to use…

November 12, 2024

Irresistible Policy, Meet the Unmovable Labor Market

Gad Levanon, chief economist at The Burning Glass Institute, analyzed data relating to the share of undocumented workers in a wide variety of trades and lower-wage, lower-skilled occupations, as well as higher-skilled jobs in construction and manufacturing. Bear in mind that many of these occupations are related to housing, the largest contributor to our recent bout of high…