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Research Archive

January 6, 2026

The Middle Class Is Shrinking Because of a Booming Upper-Middle Class

Populists on both the political left and right routinely claim that the middle class has been hollowed out. These claims, to the extent they are based on evidence, rely on a relative definition of the middle class, such that if income doubles for every family, the middle class does not grow. Using an absolute definition of the middle class, we find that the “core” middle class has shrunk, but only because more families have become upper-middle class over time.

December 2, 2025

Stranded by the Safety Net: How to Fix the Benefit Cliff Problem

September 22, 2025

New Approaches to Characterize Industries: AI as a Framework and a Use Case

August 27, 2025

In Pursuit: Marriage, Motherhood, And Women’s Well-Being

June 16, 2025

Holding New Credentials Accountable for Outcomes: We Need Evidence-Based Funding Models 

June 13, 2025

Good Fathers, Flourishing Kids: The Importance of Fatherhood in Virginia