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Research Archive

February 18, 2026

Everything You Thought About the US Labor Market Is Wrong

Markets, economists and Federal Reserve officials seem to believe that the US labour market spent…

February 15, 2026

The Heterogeneous Effects of Large and Small Minimum Wage Changes on Hours Worked: Evidence Using a Partially Pre-Committed Analysis Plan

Abstract We use a partially pre-committed estimation strategy to study the effects of minimum wage…

February 3, 2026

Reemployment Bonuses: A Promising Path to Economic Recovery

Few economic questions have more policy relevance than the effect of government programs on labor…

December 23, 2025

Why Trump Has an Affordability Problem

Although Americans are rightly worried about inflation and the affordability of basic goods and services,…

November 20, 2025

Populism Won’t Help US Workers. Here’s What Will

We live in a populist age. Widespread discontent has swept unlikely politicians to the top…

October 16, 2025

The Problem with America’s Health-Care Subsidies

The US federal government shutdown has become a standoff over health care that will likely…

September 18, 2025

The Fed’s Wrong Move

The US Federal Reserve intends to push its policy interest rate down to 3.6% this…

August 1, 2025

Trump’s tariff deadline: Six experts weigh in

Trump’s trade deals have been surprising in their one-sidedness, in favor of the United States….

July 2, 2025

Have You Heard the Good News?

A quick look at some recent headlines shows that we have problems. The nation sharply…

April 3, 2025

Trump’s Tariffs Are a Historic Tax Hike

If implemented, the tariffs announced yesterday by President Trump would constitute the largest tax increase since the…

January 8, 2025

Menu Adjustment in Response to the Minimum Wage: A Return to the New Jersey-Pennsylvania Border

Abstract This paper studies how output prices are affected by increases in the minimum wage….

December 17, 2024

Industrial Policy and Deficits: Dark Clouds for Democratic Capitalism

Democratic capitalism is a system that marries liberal democracy and free-market capitalism. This union creates…